Saldaña vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saldaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
SAL
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
BAL
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
SAL
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JOP
1 - 1
SAL
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
VDB
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 4
GRI
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAS
32%
22%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
AST
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |