Rochapeano vs Discóbolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochapeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FER
8 - 0
ROC
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ROC
3 - 4
ALC
55%
20%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
DIS
2 - 0
ROC
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ROC
1 - 12
FER
47%
21%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ALC
10 - 0
ROC
43%
22%
35%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Discóbolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
DIS
4 - 1
ALC
66%
18%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
DIS
2 - 1
FER
49%
21%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
DIS
2 - 0
ROC
69%
16%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ALC
1 - 0
DIS
48%
21%
30%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
FER
4 - 1
DIS
52%
21%
27%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |