Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
CD Real Sociedad vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RES
3 - 1
RSO
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RSO
3 - 1
DSA
49%
23%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 0
RSO
34%
23%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
RSO
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
RSO
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RES
3 - 1
RSO
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
RES
52%
24%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RES
2 - 2
VID
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 2
RES
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |