CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
7º
15
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSO
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RSO
3 - 2
VIC
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 2
RSO
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 20 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 0
CDG
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 20 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VID
1 - 1
RSO
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
VID
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 2
ALI
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 4
MOT
25%
27%
49%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |