CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
8º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 3
RES
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 0
RSO
73%
19%
9%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
RSO
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 2
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VID
1 - 2
HNP
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |