CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 5
VIC
27%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
7 - 0
RSO
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RSO
0 - 0
VID
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RES
1 - 3
RSO
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RSO
0 - 2
JAG
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VID
0 - 0
HNP
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 2
VIC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 2
JAG
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 1
HNP
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 1
HNP
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |