CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 1
VID
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 2
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
MAR
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 2
OLI
10%
20%
71%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 0
OLI
6%
17%
78%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
4 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 4
PLA
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 2
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
HNP
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |