CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RSO
3 - 0
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
4 - 1
RSO
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
RSO
2 - 0
OLI
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
RES
0 - 0
RSO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 0
PLA
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
1 - 1
MOT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
2 - 2
OLI
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VID
2 - 0
HNP
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
HNP
2 - 2
RES
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 3
HNP
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |