CD Real Sociedad vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
8º
25
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VID
2 - 1
RSO
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 3
RES
14%
24%
62%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |