CD Real Sociedad vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+153%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
7º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
RSO
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 1
JAG
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
RSO
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RSO
3 - 2
VIC
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 2
RSO
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 20 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
MOT
16%
24%
61%
|
22 | 74 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDG
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 74 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
CDG
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 2
OLI
16%
25%
59%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDG
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |