Real de Minas vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 2
RDM
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
2 - 3
OLI
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
0 - 3
MOT
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 2
RDM
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 1
PLA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
OLI
13%
21%
67%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 3
JAG
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 2
RDM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |