Real de Minas vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RDM
4 - 0
PLA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
RDM
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
RDM
74%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RDM
3 - 2
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 0
RDM
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
HNP
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 3
MAR
17%
24%
60%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 0
RDM
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |