Real de Minas vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
RDM
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDM
4 - 2
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
HNP
3 - 2
RDM
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 2
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
RDM
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 4
OLI
17%
23%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
HNP
3 - 2
RDM
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 2
HNP
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
6 - 0
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |