Quintana vs Castroviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 2
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
SJE
53%
21%
26%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 4
QUI
70%
17%
13%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 3
PIQ
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
QUI
42%
23%
36%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
VAL
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
5 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARC
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
COV
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |