CD Provincial Osorno vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
CON
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CSD
2 - 0
CDP
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CDP
2 - 3
LOT
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
CDP
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NTA
0 - 1
PUE
40%
27%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
NTA
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NTA
1 - 2
CSD
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 3
NTA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NTA
2 - 4
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |