CD Provincial Osorno vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
CDP
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
CSD
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 0
CDP
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 3
NTA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 3
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CSD
4 - 0
LOT
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 0
CDP
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |