CD Provincial Osorno vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
7º
7º
13
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 2
CDP
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
CDS
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
4 - 2
CDP
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
FVC
38%
28%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GVE
1 - 3
CDP
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 1
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REN
2 - 3
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
DLI
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 0
LAU
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
SAU
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |