CD Provincial Osorno vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
7º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 2
CDP
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 4
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 2
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JOA
3 - 3
CDP
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 3
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GVE
4 - 0
SAU
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 1
GVE
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GVE
1 - 3
CUR
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
GVE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GVE
2 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |