CD Provincial Osorno vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CSD
2 - 0
CDP
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CDP
2 - 3
LOT
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
CDP
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
NTA
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 3
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CDP
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |