CD Provincial Osorno vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
7º
57
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
CDP
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 1
DLI
49%
28%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 2
CDP
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
CDM
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 1
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |