Portalegrense vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
71.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portalegrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDP
0 - 3
FAR
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
6 - 1
CDP
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ANA
1 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
0 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLE
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |