Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-8
Patria Zaragoza vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patria Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
USC
0 - 6
PAT
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
PAT
5 - 0
NAM
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
PAT
4 - 0
USC
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
NAM
1 - 2
PAT
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
PAT
0 - 4
RSO
20%
22%
57%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RMA
5 - 1
FCB
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ARE
5 - 1
RMA
44%
22%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RMA
6 - 1
EUR
90%
7%
4%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 0
RMA
19%
17%
64%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
8 - 1
RMA
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |