CD Padura vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
17º
16º
20
2º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 67 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 45 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
40.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 16 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Padura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
CDP
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 1
URD
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 0
CDP
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 0
LON
28%
28%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATX
3 - 1
CDP
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
URD
2 - 2
CDU
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDU
1 - 2
LON
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 0
CDU
35%
23%
41%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDU
1 - 1
CDD
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SNT
1 - 1
CDU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |