CD Oriente Sub 19 vs La Mosca Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
75.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+204%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
16º
15º
52
1º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Oriente Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
CDO
72%
16%
12%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDO
1 - 3
UDM
14%
21%
65%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDO
2 - 4
GRA
13%
18%
69%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDO
61%
20%
20%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDO
0 - 2
HIS
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
4 - 2
GRA
44%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 5
LAM
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LAM
2 - 2
MAL
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 1
LAM
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
HIS
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |