CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
4º
8
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 36 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 27 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 27 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 23 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 13 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18.5% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
64.5% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
17% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Juticalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
JUT
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 1
RSO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUT
51%
28%
22%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDM
4 - 2
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +5 |