CD Olimpia vs Joe Public FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
OLI
33%
29%
39%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 1
VIC
58%
24%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
MON
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
JOE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 2
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
JOE
1 - 0
CAL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
TBU
1 - 2
JOE
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PAU
4 - 2
JOE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |