CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
1º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
JUT
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
4 - 1
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
JAG
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
MAR
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |