CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
1º
15
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VID
1 - 3
OLI
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
OLI
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
SJE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
VID
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 17 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
2 - 0
JAG
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |