CD Olimpia vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 1
OLI
15%
26%
59%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RES
1 - 3
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
JUT
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
RDM
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RDM
0 - 2
HNP
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 3
HNP
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HNP
2 - 6
RES
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 0
JUT
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |