CD Olimpia vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
JUT
2 - 2
OLI
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
RSO
65%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 7
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
5 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
HNP
60%
21%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUT
3 - 1
HNP
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
4 - 3
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VID
5 - 3
HNP
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |