CD Olimpia vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
4º
11
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 36 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 27 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 27 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 23 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 13 |
10º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
18.5% | 44% |
|
Next round
|
64.5% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
17% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 1
RSO
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 3
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |