Apertura Playoffs Eliminatorias Final
Global 2-1
CD Olimpia vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDG
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
OLI
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
ALI
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
MOT
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |