Apertura Playoffs Playoff Final
Global 3-1
CD Olimpia vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 0
VID
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
VID
0 - 0
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
OLI
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
0 - 1
PLA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 4
MOT
23%
24%
54%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |