Apertura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
CD Olimpia vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
JAG
74%
15%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
OLI
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
4 - 1
JUT
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RSO
2 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
MOT
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
MOT
35%
25%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOT
5 - 1
PLA
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VID
2 - 1
MOT
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |