CD Olimpia vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
8º
3º
12
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 36 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 32 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 29 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 27 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 20 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
28.5% | 19% |
|
Next round
|
63.5% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 3
OLI
18%
26%
56%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 3
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIC
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDG
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 2
MAR
5%
12%
84%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |