Clausura Playoffs Final
Global 5-3
CD Olimpia vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 3
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
RES
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDG
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 2
MAR
5%
12%
84%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
44%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |