Apertura Honduras Finalísima Final
Global 3-0
CD Olimpia vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 0
VID
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
VID
0 - 0
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
OLI
31%
25%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 3
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |