Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-8
O Donnell vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Donnell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CDO
2 - 1
ALM
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MAL
1 - 1
CDO
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
CDO
1 - 1
LIN
42%
28%
30%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BAL
1 - 1
AGD
68%
21%
12%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
AGD
0 - 2
CDB
48%
27%
24%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ALM
2 - 1
AGD
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
CFC
5 - 0
AGD
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
AGD
0 - 1
BAL
56%
26%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |