CD Naval Sub 19 vs Velarde CF Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+119%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
18º
18º
29
4º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
5 - 0
NAV
56%
21%
23%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
MAS
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAV
70%
16%
14%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 2
NAV
51%
20%
29%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 0
CLU
35%
22%
43%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 1
CFC
20%
20%
60%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 1
VEL
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
5 - 4
SDN
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
REA
8%
13%
79%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
VEL
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |