Murada vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
MUR
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 4
NUD
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NUC
1 - 1
MUR
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 2
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 3
MUR
25%
23%
53%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
THD
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIJ
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ELD
5 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |