Murada vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUR
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 3
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAM
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NUD
2 - 0
ALM
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
NUD
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NUD
1 - 4
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 3
NUD
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VIJ
0 - 3
NUD
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |