Murada vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
4 - 0
MUR
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 3
PET
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
4 - 2
MUR
47%
24%
30%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
MUR
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 3
VIJ
20%
23%
58%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
RED
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RED
3 - 2
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
VIJ
2 - 1
RED
58%
21%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
RED
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RED
2 - 0
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |