Murada vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIJ
2 - 3
MUR
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
4 - 2
MUR
39%
23%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 2
VIL
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
MUR
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 4
NUD
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
SPO
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
TOR
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 4
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
SPO
56%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |