Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-0
CD Mungia vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mungia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EIB
4 - 0
CDM
58%
24%
18%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CDM
1 - 1
RUN
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CDM
1 - 1
CDG
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
CLH
3 - 1
CDM
60%
23%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CDM
0 - 0
CAN
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AUR
0 - 0
GER
54%
26%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
GER
1 - 1
TAL
60%
24%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
SAB
0 - 2
GER
61%
24%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
GER
1 - 1
LON
70%
20%
9%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 0
GER
51%
28%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |