Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-13
CD Mungia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mungia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ALA
2 - 0
CDM
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CDM
3 - 1
EJE
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CDM
69%
20%
11%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
TOL
1 - 0
CDM
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CDM
2 - 0
MUT
53%
27%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ATH
3 - 1
ZAR
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
ALM
4 - 2
ATH
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
ATH
7 - 1
CDG
93%
5%
2%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CDG
0 - 5
ATH
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |