FC Motagua vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
2º
24
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
VID
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
RES
45%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
VID
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
RES
2 - 3
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |