FC Motagua vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DSA
3 - 2
MOT
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MOT
0 - 1
RSO
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
CHO
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DSA
0 - 1
MOT
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MOT
4 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 2
RES
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RES
1 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 1
RES
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RES
0 - 0
OLI
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |