FC Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
2º
15
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 0
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |