FC Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VID
0 - 3
MOT
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
RES
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 2
JAG
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 2
VIC
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RSO
0 - 2
JAG
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 2
RES
17%
26%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VID
2 - 1
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |