FC Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VID
2 - 0
MOT
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 2
RES
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 1
MOT
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 3
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 0
JAG
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 2
HNP
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
JAG
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |